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USA 4-1 Paraguay: The First Real Market Signal From Pochettino’s Team

The United States opened their home World Cup campaign with a 4-1 win over Paraguay in Los Angeles, giving Mauricio Pochettino’s side an immediate advantage in Group D.

  • Result: United States 4-1 Paraguay.
  • Key scorers: Folarin Balogun scored twice, while Gio Reyna added a late fourth.
  • Group impact: The United States move to three points and a strong early goal-difference position.

What happened

The win gives the co-hosts the start they needed after a tense build-up to their first match. The scoreline also gives the United States breathing room before their second Group D fixture, with the four-goal output immediately changing the public conversation around their attacking ceiling.

Balogun’s double is the headline football development. The United States have several creators and wide runners, but a tournament favourite becomes much more convincing when the centre-forward turns pressure into goals. Reyna’s late goal added to the margin and gave the group table a different look before Australia and Turkey enter the picture.

Why it matters

A heavy opening win can move futures, group-winner prices, team-total markets, and public confidence very quickly. It also gives the U.S. staff more tactical flexibility: they can approach the next match with points already on the board rather than chasing the group from behind.

Betting impact

The result strengthens the U.S. case, but it also creates overreaction risk. Bettors should expect shorter prices on the United States in Group D markets. The cleaner follow-up angle may be team goals or protected result markets rather than chasing an inflated handicap.

Source: The Guardian World Cup 2026 live blog. Published source date: June 13, 2026.